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No more ardhanari diplomacy!
India will have to choose between Washington and Beijing - the past 50 years
have clearly shown that non-alignment only means getting the worst of both,
says M D Nalapat
Thanks to the concept of ardhanari - half man-half woman, which usually
means neither rather than both - Indian diplomacy has "excelled" in fudging
solutions so that the country gets the worst of each of the rival camps
engaged. During the time of the Clinton administration, despite the reality
that the former US president was more vicious towards India than any US
president save Eisenhower and Nixon, Jaswant Singh crouched low before even
mid-level flunkeys of the White House, zipping across the globe for a few
minutes with the likes of Richard Holbrooke (who has done such an excellent
job of bringing ethnic harmony in the Balkans) and Madeleine Albright (who
performed a similar feat in West Asia).
So passionate were the masochistic Indians with Bill Clinton that the
country even hosted him after he left office, accompanied as he was by a
gang of non-resident Indians (NRI) intent on sabotaging good relations with
the incoming George W Bush team. In contrast to the effusiveness with which
the Clinton hectoring and bullying (usually on behalf of China and Pakistan)
was treated, thus far very few practical steps have been taken to take
advantage of the Bush team's vastly more friendly attitude towards India. In
particular, Jaswant was severely lectured by his officials for one of the
few correct decisions he took - welcoming Bush's National Missile Defense
(NMD) plan. With its billion people, growing (despite Atal and his UP-Bihar
fixation) economy and troublesome neighbours, New Delhi needs the shield
that entry into an NMD alliance can provide. Rather than remain fixated on
ardhanari policies that are neither here nor there but fall into the cracks
between, India needs to decide quickly as to the geopolitical camp it wishes
to locate itself in. The growth of China under a Communist party and the
inescapable tensions that such a system will have with the US means Beijing
is going to be the second pole of a bipolar rivalry system, replacing
Moscow. Should India link hands with China (and possibly Russia, a schema
first put forward by the present writer in 1983) into an alliance designed
to drive the US and its European Union (EU) allies out of the strategic
heights that the latter have enjoyed in Asia for the past 400 years? Or
should it acknowledge its English-speaking heritage of the past 200 years,
its democratic system and its liberal ethos and team up with the West in the
East, as Japan and Singapore, for example, have done?
Nehru clearly favoured ardhanari solutions, for he spoke of "non-alignment".
The result was that Pakistan got the unearned benefit of massive amounts of
US help, even while China got put off by the effusive welcome given to the
Dalai Lama in 1959 and the summary rejection of the Chou-en-lai proposals
for a boundary settlement a year later. As for Moscow, as Tashkent showed,
the Communist Party of the Soviet Union took advantage of India to earn
brownie points with the West, forcing Shastri to cede Haji Pir. Had Lal
Bahadur lived up to his name, India would not have had to face to this
degree the 1989 invasion from Pakistan-trained fanatics. Sadly, Shastri
succumbed (literally) to Kosygin's bullying, as Indira Gandhi did to
Bhutto's charm. Today, the same officials who tripped over each other to be
deferential to that vicious India-baiter, Bill Clinton, are now trying to
sabotage the very real prospects of a US-India entente. Were this because of
a perception that India needs to team up with Beijing against the US, it may
have been understandable. However, these same officials flirt with the Dalai
Lama and hence foreclose chances for a China-India alliance. The country
cannot afford another 50 wasted years of geopolitical desert. It needs to
make a clear choice, and soon, a choice that need not be openly declared,
but which begins to be implemented on the ground. The choice is between
China and the US. Despite all the soothing rhetoric, the fact remains that
the Chinese Communist Party needs to position itself in opposition to US
domination in Asia in order to become acceptable not only to its own cadres
but to the proudly nationalistic Han people, who see themselves as second to
none.
If an alliance with China, then the Dalai Lama issue has got to get settled,
and His Holiness requested to shift to either another country or to the
place where he can best serve the interests of his people, Lhasa. The other
option is an alliance with Washington. This cannot be the casual fling that
pro-Pakistan analysts such as Steve Cohen are seeking, but a complete
marriage that includes joint military cooperation, including the setting up
of military and NMD bases designed to protect each other and allies. India,
for example, has extensive economic assets around the Saurashtra and Mumbai
coast. An NMD base jointly set up with the US in this region would protect
this huge infrastructure from danger of an attack by the loonies who are
incubating in Pakistan. For the US, this would be a major asset, as the lead
time for an interceptor rocket from Afghanistan is low from India, just as a
North Korean missile can be easier intercepted from Japan, an alliance
partner together with Australia in such a future scenario. Rather than try
the impossible task of placating the jehadis, New Delhi may find that an NMD
facility on its west coast may be a much more effective deterrent to any
attempt at destroying the huge industrial infrastructure on the upper west
coast.
Rather than pretend that tough choices can be indefinitely postponed, the
Vajpayee regime needs to get over its fascination for Nehruvian ardhanari
solutions and begin work on which of the two alternatives is best for India:
alliance with Beijing or Washington. Non-alignment means getting the worst
from both. It means 50 more years of geopolitical famine, following on the
lost years under the Nehruvians.
http://www.tehelka.com/currentaffairs/sep2001/ca090201dip1.htm
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