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Dear Karthik
That news item points to a very disturbing trend which left
uchecked will be exploited by the Thackerays and Katiyars to fan out more
communal riots. Now coming to your question as to what happends to India in
case US attacks Afghanistan? Fisrst of all I don't think US will go an for
an all out attack. Judging by past history and the experience of former
invaders British and Soviets, it is amply clear that the capute of Kabul
doesn't warrant surrender of Afghanisthan. Also I beleive that the Americans
are aware that military advancements and sophistications stand nothing
against a band of determined fundamentalist guerillas ready for anything to
acheive their so called cause. Americans themselves learned this in Vietnam
and back home Indians realised this in Sri Lanka.
Now in spite of all this if US decides for a full scale ground war against
Afghanisthan, Pakistan and Turkmenistan will be more apt for setting up
bases than India, because of the former's geographic proximity to
Afghanistan. In that sense India should feel lucky that in no way they have
to get involved in the whole exercise. But that doesnt in any way guarantee
a win win situation against Pakistan. In case US request Pakistan to set up
bases in Pakistan and Pakistan agrees, then Musharraf can ask for a tight
bargain with US including a formal recognition of the present regime and
less favour towards India when it comes to Kashmir. This is the eventuality
that the Indian diplotic establishment has to counter vigorously. It has to
drive the point to the US and the rest of the world community that
terrosrism cannot be selective and doesn't change in nature if disguised
under the cloak of freedom struggle. This can help a lot in exposing the
militants in Kashmir.
However having said this, anything could happen? Let's wait and see?
Bye
Netgeek
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